Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Estimating the Truth

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Dear Friends:

Q: is there an absolute truth?
Q: is the notion of "one truth" a myth?
Q: can the truth be arrived at by observation?
Q: can the truth be arrived at by concensus?
Q: can two separate truths co-exist, without each invalidating or negating the other?

Truth is a tough subject, indeed.

Here are is a reprint of a post to http://aboutdouglascastle.blogspot.com/ about the notion of at least "agreeing, via an organized and accepted practice, upon the truth. I smilingly call this the Estimated Truth. Please read on...

A FORMULA FOR "ESTIMATING" THE TRUTH...

Douglas Castle is in the process of developing a scientific mechanism for collecting, evaluating and weighing the subjective (and varied) perceptions of the same situation by a group of individuals to compute the best "estimate" of the actual truth.

This is a daunting but necessary challenge. People only report their perceptions of reality, and not of reality, itself. If there is, in fact, no concrete or absolute reality or truth, it would still be useful to have a means of collecting subjective data from groups of significant statistical size and and distilling the most likely truth.

The applications of this process would include market research, news reporting, conflict resolution, creating optimized definitions and strategic planning.

The disciplines involved in developing this model would entail applications of statistics, probability, and test design. There would be, of necessity, experimentation and trial-and-error -- but I believe that the resulting formula and the data generated through its proper and consistent utilization would be highly worthwhile.

Lastly, the value of this particular measurement (i.e., the outcome of the process) would be incalculable. It would at very least provide us with a form of "perception by conscensus," if not the elusive truth, itself. The mind boggles at the number of "working definitions" which could be created via a simple data collection and concensus approach.

Of course, being a lingovator and megalomaniac of some note, I would propose to call this formula the "CASTLE PERCEPTUAL CONCENSUS PROTOCOL," and the resultant statistic the "CASTLE COLLECTIVIZED PERCEPTION," or, more simply, the "CCP VALUE."

Wouldn't it be a fascination to use this approach, when duly-refined, to find CCP VALUES or CCP DEFINITIONS for such things as:

  • Intelligence and Artificial Intelligence (AI)
  • Competence
  • Integrity
  • Validity
  • Quality...
The potential list would be endless.

Think about it, please, so perhaps I won't have to.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle

p.s. Own your free subscription to THE NATIONAL NETWORKER Newsletter. Click on http://twitlik.com/OK 

p.p.s. Please visit some of my other sites of interest:

AboutDouglasCastle                                
http://aboutdouglascastle.blogspot.com/
Braintenance                                            
http://braintenance.blogspot.com/
Humanitas Maximus                               
http://humanitasmaximus.blogspot.com/
Douglas Castle – Internal Energy Plus   
http://douglascastleiep.blogspot.com/
The Global Futurist                                 
http://theglobalfuturist.blogspot.com/
Taking Command!                                  
http://takingcommand.blogspot.com/
The Internationalist Page                       
http://theinternationalistpage.blogspot.com/


DOUGLAS CASTLE
*Follow DOUGLAS CASTLE on TWITTER - http://twitter.com/douglascastle
*Follow DOUGLAS CASTLE on THE NATIONAL NETWORKER - http://twitter.com/TNNW_BUZZWORKS

Labels and terms: CASTLE PERCEPTUAL CONCENSUS PROTOCOL, CASTLE COLLECTIVIZED PERCEPTION, CCP VALUE, lingovations, The National Networker Newsletter, truth, subjective interpretation, statistics, probability, test design, mathematical modeling, Douglas Castle, perception, collective, weighing factors, approaches to measurement, AI, Artificial Intelligence, predictions, competence, integrity, validity, character, Bruce Klein, Scott Gingold, metrics, surveys, polls, TNNW, Relationship Capital, The National Newspicker, information, intelligence, agreement, GetGlobalEdge, Speedlight Pro Kit, quality, blogs, delegation, Author Ann Sloan, visionaries, order out of chaos.


#TNNW_BUZZWORKS, #TNNW, #IEP_VOICE, #Braintenance, #GetGlobalEdge, #SpeedlightPro


 http://twitlik.com/EstimatingTheTruth


*Follow BRAINTENANCE on Twitter at http://twitter.com/Braintenance .
*Follow DOUGLAS CASTLE's Blog at
http://aboutdouglascastle.blogspot.com/ .
*Follow DOUGLAS CASTLE on Twitter at
http://twitter.com/douglascastle .
*Also:
Take a look at the following sites ---
HUMANITAS MAXIMUS, TAKING COMMAND!, INTERNAL ENERGY PLUS BLOG, INTERNAL ENERGY PLUS WEBSITE, THE NATIONAL NETWORKER, THE GLOBAL FUTURIST, THE INTERNATIONALIST PAGE.
*Contact the author at
douglas.castle@yahoo.com .

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